Forex Forecast and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for June - August 2018

Traditionally, summer is the time when business activity slows down: VIPs are basking in the sun on their snow-white yachts, the heads of the Central Banks leave the boring offices, setting important tasks aside for the autumn, and they are followed by ordinary traders who get a break. However, even the summer months can present surprises. Suffice it to recall the referendum on the withdrawal of the UK from the EU in June 2016, the results of which literally shocked all the stock and financial markets.

Such breaking news is not expected in the coming three months, but some events will be able to exert a strong, if not decisive, influence on the formation of exchange rates and trends. 

Enter your text here ...

  • EUR/USD. Most likely, the ECB will send a signal in summer about its intention to end this year with a super-soft policy of buying up assets. This will happen, most likely, either after the meeting on June 14, or July 26, because the next meeting will happen in autumn. The intention to finish with the quantitative easing program (QE) and go into a new phase of development has been repeatedly stated by the heads of European Central Banks - by the head of the Bank of France Villeroia de Gallo, and the management of the German Bundesbank, and the head of the Bank of Lithuania Vitas Vasiliauskas.
    As a result, despite the fact that the Euro can still continue to decline for some time, the markets are already prepared for a trend change. And if after one of the mentioned meetings the statements of the ECB Head Mario Draghi contain hawk notes, the Euro will immediately fly up.
    More than 60% of the polled experts agree with this scenario at the moment, they believe that the pair EUR/USD will definitely return to the highs of 2018 in the zone 1.2400-1.2555 by September.
    10% of analysts are still undecided, and about 30% of experts have voted for the further strengthening of the dollar. This, in their view, will be facilitated by the further raise of the interest rate by the US Federal Reserve against the backdrop of the ECB's muffled rhetoric. The bears' supporters expect the Fed to raise the rate by another 0.5% in the next six months, which will lead to a fall of the euro to the last September's low in the zone 1.1550. Moreover, such a decrease may occur in the near future, far outstripping the real actions of the Fed.
    If we talk about technical analysis, its forecasts are more modest. It predicts a fairly low volatility and fluctuations of the pair in the corridor 1.1600-1.2000 for the beginning of the summer. Oscillators also expect correction upwards after 700 points of fall. So, a quarter of them are already signaling that this pair is oversold on the daily and weekly timeframes.
  • GBP/USD. The pound continues to be pressured by uncertainty and disagreement with the European Union regarding the Brexit, as well as the absence of any changes in the monetary policy of the Bank of England. Starting from April 17, the pound has already lost more than 900 points and, if you look at the readings of graphical analysis and indicators, it does not intend to stop there.
    So, the graphical analysis on D1 assumes that, having beaten off from resistance 1.3455, the pair can sharply go down, reaching the bottom at the level of 1.3065. And in case of the breakdown of this support, it can fall another 300 points lower - to the horizon 1.2765.
    However, only 35% of experts support this development, 10% are neutral and 55% are confident that, starting from the middle of summer, the pound will start to gain strength and the pair will rise at least to 1.4000-1.4100. In this case, we must take into account that as of now, only one out of ten oscillators indicates that the pair is oversold.
  • USD/JPY. It is clear that almost all trend indicators and oscillators on D1 and W1 are painted green. Only 10% of oscillators say that this pair is overbought.
    It is necessary to pay attention to the fact that the pair has returned to the boundaries of the side channel 108.25-114.70, along which it has moved starting from the beginning of 2017. It broke through the lower boundary of this corridor in mid-February 2018, but now it has again approached its Pivot Point. Perhaps this is the reason for the divergence of opinions among experts: a third of them are for the movement of the pair to the north, a third vote for the east and a third think it will go to the south.
    We can conclude from the above that the pair will stay in this range for the nearest months, which is confirmed by graphical analysis. At the beginning of summer, it expects the pair to move in the range of 108.25-112.00, after which the pair can go up to resistance 114.70.
  • Cryptocurrencies. We should remind you once again that, due to the fact that the cryptocurrency market is thin and has increased volatility, digital currency rates can be strongly influenced not only by the decisions of various regulators, but also by the statements and actions of private companies and newsmakers of this industry.

For the pair BTC/USD, experts expect growth to the height of 11,750-12,980 by the middle of July, after which it is expected to roll back - first to the horizon of 10,000, and then, possibly, to the support of 7,160.
Analysts expect about the same dynamics for other cryptocurrencies included in the TOP-10 in terms of capitalization. So, it is not excluded that the pair ETH/USD will overcome the mark of $1000 for 1 coin in July, then it will return to the values of May in the $650 area.
LTC/USD. The pair will try to approach the height of $200 for a litecoin, then it will roll back to $140.
The immediate goal of the pair XRP/USD is to return to zone 0.8850. If it is reached, the next height is 1.0000, after which the rollback to the values in the region of 0.6300-0.7000 is expected.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #usdchf #forex #forex_example #signals #forex #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin

Global market snapshot - ANZ
Bitcoin price analysis: Breaks down of important s...

Related Posts


Quick Post

What would you like to share today?
You can also favorite these post types to have quicker access
Share and stream what's new to our social channels...
  Add photos   Click or drop photos here to upload.
Pending Preparing to upload... Uploading... Upload failed. (see details) Upload completed.
( left)
Add files Click or drop files here to upload
Type a hashtag to start searching for tags
Keyword does not match any tags
Type a name of your friend
No friends found by that name
Keyword does not match any emoticons

Broker Search

Latest Spot Rate

27 February 2020
Investment Caution: JT Trader Financial Services Ltd. (JT Trader)Due to maintenance work the Public Website will be unavailable from 6 p.m. to 11 p.m. on Thursday, February 27, 2020.For more information, click here.Date added:February 26, 2020Address...
27 February 2020
US Open- Relief Rally, Oil’s make or break moment, Gold struggles - MarketPulseMarketPulseHome/Commodities/Economic Exposure/Yield and IndicesShare 0US stocks are showing signs of life after four days of pain.  Coronavirus fears are leading markets ...
26 February 2020
NEW YORK, Feb. 26, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- TradingView now ranks as a top 300 global website according to Alexa rankings (#272 on the release date). Today, more than 10 million traders and investors visit TradingView each month and collectively they've ...
26 February 2020
We believe this firm has been providing financial services or products in the UK without our authorisation. Find out why to be especially wary of dealing with this unauthorised firm and how to protect yourself from scammers.Original link...
26 February 2020

How It Works | About | Contact | Contributors | Privacy Policy | Advertise
© 2009 - 2020 ChatPips. All Rights Reserved. Terms of Use: The content on this website is solely for educational and informational purposes and is not a substitute for official documentation of the original owners. This site is not operated by, sponsored by, endorsed by, or affiliated with any parties in any way. The website owner, the authors, the publishers, and all affiliates of ChatPips.com assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. You should always check and confirm with several sources with your licensed financial advisor and tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment before making your final decision. Your continued usage and browsing of information on this website constitute your agreement to this Terms of Use. If you do not agree, please do not proceed to use this website. Brokers Directory: The companies license information were obtained from respective local jurisdiction. All other company and/or product names are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of their respective owners.