fbpx

Weekend risk heightened

Weekend risk heightened - MarketPulseMarketPulse

image

Home/Brexit/News events/Newsfeed

Share 0

It’s been a relatively flat European session so far and US futures are pointing to a similar start on Wall Street as negotiations on both sides of the Atlantic go into a critical weekend.

Both negotiations are being fiercely fought right up to the wire but I remain confident that both will be done. It seems the first to be ticked off will be a stimulus deal and spending bill in Washington, with both sides appearing very close to agreement after months of wrangling. It may just turn out to be a bridge to another package in the new year but that’s better than the alternative and sees the country through to the new administration, providing critical support in the interim.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell reportedly warned lawmakers that a weekend vote may be necessary. At the very least, work will likely carry on into the next couple of days. Combined with the European Parliament’s insistence on a deadline for Brexit talks of Sunday, there’s an unusual amount of weekend risk in the markets which may weigh on sentiment as the day progresses.

Of course, deadlines have come and gone in both cases – granted, far more on the Brexit side – and I’m not sure anyone will be entirely surprised to see talks still ongoing on Monday or even right up until the new year.

That would be a massive gamble on the UK’s side as the process would then become far trickier with the EP refusing to ratify it by the end of the year and rush any agreement through. There are other undesirable options, such as the EU provisionally applying any agreement until the EP votes on it in the new year and given how these negotiations have gone since day one, a part of me would be surprised if this doesn’t happen.

If the UK believes the EU would accept this in order to avoid a no-deal, temporarily or permanently, it may well gamble on this to buy a little extra time if it doesn’t believe the EU is being flexible enough. Where there’s a will there’s a way and one thing is clear, there is a will. Unfortunately, just not a will to get this wrapped up in good time.

Weekend nerves are once again creeping in for the pound. which is off almost half of one percent against the dollar, euro and swissy. That’s nothing compared to what we’ll see if talks collapse over the weekend and we may see it move more in this direction ahead of the close.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar. www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam

Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.

Craig Erlam

Latest posts by Craig Erlam (see all)

Original author: Craig Erlam

Copyright

© MarketPulse

Oil pauses, gold closes in on 1900
Canadian dollar down ahead of retail sales
 

By accepting you will be accessing a service provided by a third-party external to https://chatpips.com/

 
     
 

Broker Search

Latest Spot Rate

 
19 January 2021
Key risk events today: Limited. (Previous analysis as well as outside sources – italics). EUR/USD: Holiday-thinned liquidity witnessed narrow trading on Monday, despite shaking hands with H4 demand (green) at 1.2040-1.2064 and connecting 38.2% Fibona...
19 January 2021
SAN FRANCISCO and SUZHOU, China, Jan. 19, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Innovent Biologics, Inc. (Innovent) (HKEX: 01801), a world-class biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures and commercializes high-quality medicines for the treatment of cance...
19 January 2021
Canadian dollar dips on mixed data - MarketPulseMarketPulse Home/FX/Newsfeed Share 0 The Canadian dollar is down slightly in the Monday session. Currently, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2759, up 0.22% on the day. Short squeeze boosts US dollar The week end...
19 January 2021

19 January 2021
Aussie dips below 0.77 line - MarketPulseMarketPulse Home/Central banks/COVID-19/FX/News events/Newsfeed/Technical analysis Share 0 The Australian dollar has started the new trading week with slight losses. AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7681, dow...
How It Works | About | Contact | Contributors | Privacy Policy | Advertise
© 2009 - 2021 ChatPips. All Rights Reserved. Terms of Use: The content on this website is solely for educational and informational purposes and is not a substitute for official documentation of the original owners. Daily economic news is provided by third-party website. This site is not operated by, sponsored by, endorsed by, or affiliated with any parties in any way. The website owner, the authors, the publishers, and all affiliates of ChatPips.com assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. You should always check and confirm with several sources with your licensed financial advisor and tax advisor to determine the suitability of any investment before making your final decision. Your continued usage and browsing of information on this website constitute your agreement to this Terms of Use. If you do not agree, please do not proceed to use this website. Brokers Directory: The companies license information were obtained from respective local jurisdiction. All other company and/or product names are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of their respective owners.